The San Antonio Spurs (19-57) visit Golden State Warriors (40-37) Friday. Tip-off from the Chase Center is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around Spurs vs. Warriors oddsand make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
San Antonio fell 128-117 at home to Utah on Wednesday, failing to cover as a 2-point underdog. The Spurs have lost 5 games in a row, are just 2-8 in their last 10 games and 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in that stretch. For the season, they are 30-46 ATS.
Golden State topped New Orleans 120-109 on Tuesday to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. Warriors have won 4 of their last 5 games but are 6-4 in their last 10. They are 5-5 ATS in those 10 and 36-39-2 ATS this season.
This will be the third time these teams have met this season with Golden State owning a 2-0 series lead. The Warriors won 132-95 to cover as 9-point home favorites in mid-November and won again 144-113 in mid-January to cover as 9-point road favorites.
Spurs to Warriors odds
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Warriors -3000 (bet $3000 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Spurs +18.5 (-118) | Warriors -18.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Spurs on Warriors key injuries
- PF Zach Collins (foot) out
- SG Romeo Langford (adductor) doubtful
- SF Doug McDermott (elbow) likely
- PF Jeremy Sochan (knee) out
- SF Andrew Wiggins (personally) out
For the latest updates: Official NBA Injury Report.
Spurs on Warriors picks and predictions
Warriors 126, Spurs 107
At -3000 odds on a Warriors team that is 31-8 at home against a Spurs team that is 6-31 on the road, there is no value here.
While the Warriors have the 3rd ranked scoring offense at 118.2 points per game (PPG) and the Spurs are 30th in defense, allowing 122.6 PPG, this matchup has the potential for a Warriors blowout. The Warriors are also 26-12-1 ATS at home this season, while the Spurs are 11-26 ATS on the road, but an 18.5 point line is way too high to make a safe bet on.
The Spurs' poor defense combined with their troubled road history, including failing to cover in their last three road games while playing as double-digit underdogs, could point toward betting half a unit on WARRIORS -18.5 (-102).
BET UNDER 242.5 (-115).
As it stands, 242.5 would be the 2nd highest finish line in the Spurs last 10 games and the 2nd highest finish line in the Warriors last 10.
The Under is 5-0 in Spurs' last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record.
For Golden State, the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games, 6-0-1 in their last 7 home games against a losing road record and 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games.
The Under is also 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these franchises and 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.